Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Predictions, Picks and MLB Preview – July 21, 2016

Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx

When: Thursday, July 21, 1:05 PM ET

Line: Baltimore Orioles (-103) at New York Yankees (-107); total: 9.0 – view all MLB lines

TV Broadcast: MASN, YES

Writer’s Pick: Baltimore Orioles (-103)

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Pitching Edge – Baltimore Orioles (-103)

Pitching for the Yankees in the final game of this four-game set is CC Sabathia (5-7, 3.94 ERA). He struggled mightily in his last start against the Boston Red Sox, coughing up five runs on nine hits in just 5.1 innings of action. The veteran southpaw has hit the skids over his last five starts, allowing 27 runs (25 earned) on 39 hits and 10 walks in the 28.1 innings covering that span. Sabathia owns a horrendous 7.94 ERA since June 22.

Meanwhile, the Baltimore Orioles will counter with Chris Tillman. He picked up his 13th win over the weekend, a thrilling 2-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays. Tillman has been sharp this month of July, lowering his ERA from 3.55 to 3.29. Tillman will fancy his chances of sustaining that terrific form today as he has fared extremely well against the American League East this year. He’s 6-0 in starts against AL East teams this season. In fact, the Orioles are unbeaten in the nine games that Tillman has started against their division rivals this year.

Batting Edge – Baltimore Orioles (-103)

There’s no question that the Baltimore Orioles hold the advantage in the batting department for tonight’s ballgame. The Orioles lead the majors in homers (142) this season. The O’s are also third in the American League in batting average (.267) and on-base percentage (.328) this campaign. Five Baltimore players have hit at least 15 homers this season, namely: Mark Trumbo (28), Chris Davis (22), Manny Machado (19), Adam Jones (17) and Jonathan Schoop (16).

Compare that to the offensively challenged Yankees who have scored just 393 runs this season, ninth-lowest in the entire majors. One guy who needs to step up for the Bronx Bombers is Alex Rodriguez. He is 7-of-19 in his career against Chris Tillman with five homers and 10 RBIs.

Writer’s Prediction: Baltimore (-103) wins, 5-2.

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