Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos Predictions, Picks, Odds and Betting Preview – NFL Week 4 – October 1 2018

Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs’ electrifying offense will be on the road again, this time to face the Denver Broncos. Mahomes, as well as the Chiefs, have been a huge revelation so far, but can the 3-0 team extend its win streak to four games when it takes on the Broncos? Or will Denver put a halt to Mahomes’ exploits?

The Chiefs are now +900 to win Super Bowl 53, while the Broncos are +5,500 in that betting category.

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Betting Preview for the Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos NFL Season Week 4 Game on September 30, 2018

Where: Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver

When: Sunday, September 16, 2018, 1:00 PM ET

Line: Kansas City Chiefs (-5) vs Denver Broncos (+5) – view all 2018 NFL lines

TV Broadcast: ESPN

Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (3-0)

Alex Smith who? Chiefs fans are moving on quickly from the departure of Smith via trade, as his replacement has been simply incredible to say the least. Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes has been a touchdown machine since the start of the season. He now has 13 touchdowns through three weeks of football with zero interceptions. He’s turned into a human cheat code that runs Kansas City’s league-leading offense that manufactures 39.3 points per game. In last week’s 38-27 win over the San Francisco 49es, Mahomes went 24 of 28 for 314 passing yards and three touchdowns, playing sweet music with tight end Travis Kelce (114 receiving yards on eight receptions) and wide receiver Sammy Watkins (55 receiving yards and a touchdown on five catches). There will come a time when Mahomes will regress towards the mean, but it’s also hard to dismiss what he’s doing right now. Denver is known for its defense, but its stop unit hasn’t been as effective as it was in previous years, so Mahomes could light it up again this coming Sunday.

The Chiefs are 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games away from home.

Betting on the Denver Broncos (2-1)

The Broncos are definitely planning how to slow down Mahomes, but they should also be wary of avoiding penalties. In last week’s 27-14 loss to the Baltimore Ravens at home, Denver was called for 13 infractions for a loss of 120 total yards. They also allowed Joe Flacco put up a solid game, as the Ravens quarterback had 277 passing yards and a touchdown with zero interceptions. In addition to that, the Ravens connected on all three attempts in the red zone. If that’s the same defense that the Broncos are going to put in the face of Kansas City, they might as well not show up in the game at all, as the Chiefs are second in the league in red zone touchdown percentage and first in touchdowns per game. However, Kansas City’s punching bag defense also presents opportunities for Denver quarterback Case Keenum and the backfield tandem of Royce Freeman and Philip Lindsay to rack up yards. The Chiefs are third worst in the NFL with 30.7 points allowed and last with 474.0 total yards surrendered per contest.

The under is 5-2 in Denver’s last seven games overall.

Writer’s Prediction

Kansas City wins, 27-24.

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