Wales vs. Belgium – 2016 Euro Cup Quarterfinal Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview – July 1, 2016

Wales vs. Belgium Preview

Where: Stade Pierre-Mauroy – Lille, France

When: Friday, July 1, 3:00 PM ET

Line: Wales +340 vs. Belgium -141, tie +235; total: 2.0 – view all Euro 2016 lines

TV Broadcast: ESPN2

Writer’s Pick: Wales

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Offensive Edge – Belgium (-141)

Belgium visibly has the substantial edge in terms of attacking ability. The Red Devils are coming off a comprehensive 4-0 thrashing of Hungary in the round of 16, and also smashed Ireland 3-0 in the group stage.

Superstars Eden Hazard and Kevin De Bruyne have been in outstanding form of late. Hazard, in particular, was close to unstoppable against Hungary, as he scored a goal and set up another. They also have an embarrassment of riches on the bench which they can call upon when needed.

Wales can’t match the volume of Belgium’s weapons, but it could still have the best player on the field with Gareth Bale. Bale has lived up to all the expectations entering the tournament. He’s co-top scorer with three goals, and will be very dangerous in set pieces. The Welsh offense thrives when Bale has space to counter-attack. With Belgium eager to go forward, Bale should find ample space to run onto.

Defensive Edge – Wales (+340)

Wales’ defense is very dependable. Chris Coleman’s side is well-drilled and organized, as Belgium knows all too well. The Welsh held the Belgians goalless across two meetings during qualifying. There’s a significant concern with that defense, though, as captain and center-back Ashley Williams is still doubtful after suffering a shoulder injury against Northern Ireland.

However, it’s nothing compared to the mini-crisis Belgium now has to contend with. The entire left side of Belgium’s defense will be out for the quarterfinal. Thomas Vermaelen is suspended while Jan Vertonghen injured his ankle in training and will miss the rest of the tournament. Their likely replacements, Jason Denayer and Jordan Lukaku, are very inexperienced and will be liabilities at the back.

Writer’s Prediction: Wales exploits Belgium’s backline and grabs the upset win (+341).

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