Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Predictions, Picks, Odds, and NCAA Football Week Six Betting Preview – October 7, 2016

Boise State Broncos vs. New Mexico Lobos Preview

Where: University Stadium, Albuquerque

When: Friday, October 7, 9:00 PM ET

Line: Boise State Broncos (-17) vs. New Mexico Lobos (+17); total: 61.0 – view all NCAA Football odds and lines

TV Broadcast: CBSSN

Writer’s Pick: New Mexico (+17)

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Betting on the Boise State Broncos (-17)

The Boise State Broncos will head to their Mountain West showdown with New Mexico with momentum on their side after beating the Utah State Aggies, 21-10, on Saturday night. It was another impressive victory for the Broncos, who improved their season-record to 4-0. They have won their first four games by an average of 15.8 points.

Key to Boise State’s fiery start has been their incredible offense. The Broncos are 35th in the FBS in total offense, averaging a whopping 475 yards per game this season. Just like in their opening three wins, it was Brett Rypien who took center stage for Boise State in this contest. He threw for 163 yards and two touchdowns in the game against Utah State. The sophomore quarterback has already passed for 1,024 yards and six touchdowns this season.

For the Broncos to preserve their unbeaten record against New Mexico, they will need to quickly establish their ground game this coming Saturday. Boise State rushed for 154 yards in the win against the Aggies. Jeremy McNichols led the Broncos’ rush attack, finishing with 132 yards on 30 carries. He has already rushed for 504 yards and seven scores this season. McNichols now has 10 career 100-yard rushing games, including a 128-yard effort against the Lobos last season.

Boise State is 8-2 SU and ATS in its last 10 road games. The Broncos are pegged at +10,000 to win the national championship this season.

Betting on the New Mexico Lobos (+17)

New Mexico finally snapped its two-game losing skid with a thrilling 48-41 victory over San Jose State on Saturday. The Lobos made sure that there won’t be a late collapse this time around as they successfully held off the Spartans’ spirited fourth-quarter rally. Leading the way for New Mexico in this pivotal win was Richard McQuarley. He finished with 83 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 16 carries.

The Lobos’ ground game, for that matter, has been simply spectacular this season, They are ranked second in the FBS in rushing offense, averaging 347.0 yards per game this campaign. They have already scored 16 rushing touchdowns this season. New Mexico’s vaunted running game will be put to the test, though, by a Boise State defensive line that’s allowing just 72.0 yards per game on the ground this season, third-best in the nation.

That being said, the Lobos will still fancy their chances against the Broncos as they have fared extremely well against them of late. New Mexico stunned Boise State, 31-24, in a titanic upset last year. The Lobos entered that game as 30.5-point underdogs. For New Mexico to record a major shock for the second consecutive year, they will need to continue their excellent play on the defensive end. The Lobos are 35th in the FBS in total defense, surrendering 355.8 yards per game this season.

New Mexico is 7-3 SU and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 home games.

Writer’s Prediction

Boise State wins but New Mexico (+17) covers.

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