NFL Week 10 Line Movement

The New Orleans Saints and Pittsburgh Steelers have put up very convincing performances over the last two weeks which have resulted in impressive wins. What sort of impact, if any, have those games had on their lines in Week 10? We find out right now with our weekly review of the most significant line movements.

You should know by now that the games’ lines move for a host of different reasons, but are usually due to heavy betting activity on one team or a significant matchup problem. So please keep in mind that these “reasons” as to why a particular line moved the way it did are just educated opinions. With that made clear, let’s get to the updated lines, which you can bet on today if you create a betting account right now.

Check out what the experts think will occur in Week 10 with their picks and predictions here.
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NFL Line Movement for Week 10

Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+2.5)

Line moved from PICK – view all NFL lines

The Atlanta Falcons have not won a game since beating the Bucs way back in Week 3. But the public has shown a lot of faith in the floundering Falcons to end that skid on the road at Tampa Bay, which has lost four straight games itself.

[sc:NFL240banner ]The public’s confidence in Atlanta – one that fueled a huge 2.5-point shift – could stem from the fact that they absolutely demolished the Bucs 56-14 in that Week 3 meeting. And against the last competent passing team Tampa Bay faced – Baltimore in Week 7 – the Bucs gave up five passing scores in just over one quarter.

Still, the Falcons are terrible on the road. They haven’t won on the road in a season and a half; they’re 1-11 during that time, and haven’t even covered in four games outside the Georgia Dome this season.

San Francisco 49ers (+5.5) vs. New Orleans Saints (-5.5)

Line moved from -4 Saints  – view all NFL lines

After two consecutive wins – one of which was even on the road! – and both by over two touchdowns, the public is feeling pretty safe backing the Saints. They should be very well-acquainted with the Saints’ sterling home record (11 straight wins, covering all but two) and probably like their chances of covering again at home against a Niners team that has struggled to put up points this year.

San Francisco’s defense also didn’t hold up so well against a Denver offense that torched them for 42 points over two weeks ago.

However, one of those rare times the Saints failed to cover at home was against the 49ers last season. New Orleans also struggled to defend Cam Newton’s scrambles last week. Newton had five runs of 8 yards or longer, including a touchdown – three of them on scrambles and two on designed runs. Colin Kaepernick may not be lights out passing the ball, but there’s hardly a better quarterback at running the ball than him.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-5.5) vs. New York Jets (+5.5)

Line moved from -4 Steelers – view all NFL lines

After seeing Ben Roethlisberger throw for a record 12 touchdowns in a two-game span – the Steelers won by 17 and 20 points, by the way – the public’s backing of Pittsburgh came as no surprise. It was more of a surprise to the public how low the opening line of four was, and they have since pounced on it and pushed it up 1.5 points.

As if the Steelers scoring 51 and 43 points against potentially playoff-caliber opposition in the Colts and Ravens weren’t enough, they’ll be matched up this week against a Jets secondary that is undoubtedly one of the weakest units in the entire league. Kyle Orton threw four touchdowns on that secondary last week. Think about that for a minute.

But take into account that both those blowout wins came at home. Furthermore, after a historic two-week stretch, the only way Roethlisberger can go is down. The Jets defense is certainly capable of bringing great offenses down. They’re just three weeks removed from losing to the streaking Patriots by just two points in New England.

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