New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings Predictions, Odds, Picks and NFL Week 4 Betting Preview – October 3, 2016

New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

Where: U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

When: Monday, October 3, 2016, 8:30 PM ET

Line: New York Giants at Minnesota Vikings – view all NFL lines

TV Broadcast: ESPN

Writer’s Pick: Minnesota Vikings

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2017 NFL Week 4 Picks and Predictions

Betting on the New York Giants

The Giants’ Week 3 felt like their 2015 season again: Eli Manning passing for good yardage, Odell Beckham having 120-plus receiving yards, and the Giants losing a late-game lead due to lackluster defense and offense in the clutch. If Sunday’s 29-26 loss to the Redskins was an indication of how the season will play out, GM Jerry Reese is bound to receive that dreaded pink slip soon.

In facing the Minnesota Vikings, the Giants will likely focus on their forte: passing the ball (they operate a West Coast Offense and have the personnel for it). Also, their running game doesn’t exactly pose any threat to the Vikes’ strong ground game D that only allows 3.4 yards per carry. The Giants are averaging 99 rushing yards per game but have no true “feature back” on the roster.

Although Eli has targeted Odell Beckham, Victor Cruz, and Sterling Shepard in 60-percent of his passes (64 of 107), it should still be increased. It is an ideal plan for the offense to always use packages that include the trio with one or two running backs. In doing so, they can confuse the defense attract more zone defense calls, which in turn can open up space for the receivers and running backs to operate.

The Giants are 3-2 SU (2-1-2 ATS) in their last 5 road games.

Betting on the Minnesota Vikings

Who knew that Sam Bradford, an oft-injured QB who is yet to have an above .500 season, would be leading the Vikings to a 3-0 start? They have now beaten two powerhouse NFC teams (Packers, 17-14, and the Panthers, 22-10) in back-to-back weeks. In those two games, the Bradford had a 67.7-percent completion rate with three TDs and no interceptions. They don’t seem to be missing Adrian Peterson (at least not yet).

Minnesota will look to continue targeting Stefon Diggs, Kyle Rudolph, and Jerick McKinnon on offense. Through three weeks, the three have accounted for a big majority of the team’s total yards from scrimmage (547 of 846 yards). One key stat the offense should be cautious about is their third down conversion, as it only stands at 16-of-44.

Defensively, the Vikings have been unstoppable. They now have 15 sacks, five interceptions, and five forced fumbles, while only allowing 13.3 points per game. Minnesota’s front seven should be able to slash into the Giants’ suspect O-line, who’s only bright spot is left guard Justin Pugh.

The Vikings are 3-2 SU (4-1 ATS) in their last five home games.

Writer’s Prediction

The Vikings win, 20-14.

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