New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Betting Preview | NFL Week 4 – October 4, 2020

Cam Newton and the New England Patriots will come charging into Arrowhead Stadium this week to face the reigning Super Bowl champions, Kansas City Chiefs. This will be the first time that Patrick Mahomes will face a Patriots team that’s not quarterbacked by Tom Brady, so Kansas City defense should expect a significant difference in the style of play of the Patriots’ attack. Check out our preview of this game below.

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Betting Preview for the New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs Regular Season Week 4 Game on October 4, 2020

Where: Arrowhead Stadium

When: Sunday, October 4, 2020, 4:25 PM ET

Line: New England Patriots (+6.5) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5) – view all 2020 NFL lines

TV Broadcast: CBS

Betting on the New England Patriots (+6.5)

Regular Season Record: 2-1

Rex Burkhead and the Patriots ran all over the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 4 to score a 36-20 road victory. Burkhead had 49 rushing yards and two touchdowns on six carries. He also had 49 receiving yards and a touchdown on seven catches and 10 targets. As a team, the Pats rushed for 250 rushing yards on 38 carries for an average of 6.6 yards per carry. The Patriots could stick to that same smashmouth offense tactic to break open a Chiefs’ defense that’s not been effective in stopping the run. The Chiefs allowed 158 rushing yards on 21 carries to the Baltimore Ravens last week. Kansas City is also giving up 153.0 rushing yards per game — 27th in the NFL. New England knows the Chiefs offense is always a threat, but the Patriots can neutralize it too. The Pats held Las Vegas to only 2-of-5 conversions in the red zone and 3-of-9 on third downs in Week 3, which the Raiders entered as second in the NFL with a 57 percent success rate on third downs. New England is seventh in the league with opponents converting just 37.04 percent of their third-down tries.

The Patriots are 2-1 against the spread in their last three games.

Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (-6.5)

Regular Season Record: 3-0

The Chiefs remain undefeated following their 34-20 win over the Baltimore Ravens on the road last Monday. In Week 4, the Chiefs will be playing at home for the first time since dominating the Houston Texans in a 34-20 win in the season opener on Sep. 10. Mahomes put another master class in moving the chains against Baltimore, as he went 31-of-42 for 385 passing yards and four touchdowns without an interception. He also had 26 rushing yards and a touchdown on four carries. The Chiefs are great in extending plays, thanks in large part to Mahomes’ talent and head coach Andy Reid’s creativity. The Chiefs went 10-of-13 on third downs against Baltimore and are No. 1 in the league in third-down conversion percentage (58.54). The Patriots have a stout defense, but they couldn’t handle Russell Wilson in Week 2, so Mahomes could have the same type of success that the Seattle Seahawks quarterback had.

The Chiefs are 8-0 against the spread in their last eight home games.

Writer’s Prediction

The Patriots win, 30-24.

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