Super Bowl LIII Predictions, Picks, Odds, and Betting Preview – Patriots vs Rams – February 3 2019

Everybody is feeling the hype of Super Bowl 53. The matchup between the New England Patriots and the Los Angeles Rams is as intriguing as it gets. On one hand, there’s the Patriots who have over 30 players with Super Bowl experience. Then on the other hand, there’s the Rams, whose number of players who have gone to a Super Bowl is fewer than Tom Brady’s rings. Anything can happen on any given Sunday though, and even more so when it comes to the Super Bowl. Read on for an updated preview of the biggest sporting event of the year.

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Betting Preview for Super Bowl 53 Featuring the New England Patriots vs the Los Angeles Rams

Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

When: Sunday, December 23,  20189 6:30 PM ET

Line: Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) vs New England Patriots (-2.5) OVER/UNDER 56.5 – view all 2019 NFL lines

TV Broadcast: CBS

Betting on the Los Angeles Rams (+2.5 Spread / +129 Money)

Perhaps the biggest key for the Rams in Super Bowl 53 is their defense. While Jared Goff has done an admirable job of dissecting opposing teams’ stop units all season long, it’s how the Rams will defend against Tom Brady that will matter the most. The good thing about the Rams is that they have the personnel to rattle Brady and company. Defensive tackle Aaron Donald is a one-man wrecking crew on the Rams’ front seven. He owns a 25.9 percent win rate as a pass rusher. It’s the highest mark in the NFL this season, which looked even more remarkable considering that interior defensive players usually have lower success rate in that area than the edge rushers. Also, the Rams’ run defense has been huge in the playoffs. They have limited the Dallas Cowboys in the divisional round to only 50 rushing yards and the New Orleans Saints in the NFC title game to only 48. Those were astonishing achievements for the Rams’ defense, as both the Cowboys and the Saints finished the regular season inside the top 1o of rushing yards per game.

The Rams are 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last two games.

Betting on the New England Patriots (-2.5 Spread / -149 Money)

Tom Brady is still a great quarterback even at the age of 41. Brady racked up 4,355 passing yards and 29 touchdowns against 11 interceptions in the regular season. His play has dipped a bit in the playoffs, as he has thrown two touchdowns with two interceptions, but he’s making the throws when it matters the most. In fact, the Patriots are the only team in the playoffs that has converted over 50 percent of third down plays. They have a 60.6 percent success rate under those situations, while the Rams, who are second to them in the postseason only has a 40.7 percent clip. The Patriots’ poise under pressure was on full display in their 37-31 overtime win against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Conference Championship Game, when Brady connected with Julian Edelman and Rob Gronkowski on crucial third downs during a drive that eventually led to Rex Burkhead’s game-winning rushing touchdown. Speaking of which, the Patriots’ running game has elevated its play in the playoffs. Rookie tailback Sony Michel has 242 rushing yards and five touchdowns in the last two games, while Burkhead has three rushing scores since the postseason kicked in.

The Patriots are 10-7 against the spread ATS when they are the favorites.

Writer’s Prediction

Patriots win and cover, 33-30.

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