Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Predictions, Odds, Picks and NFL Week 11 Betting Preview – November 20, 2016

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO

When: Sunday, November 20, 2016, 1:00 PM ET

Line: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7.5) at Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5); total: 44.5 – view all NFL lines

TV Broadcast: FOX

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Betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7.5)

On the verge of a three-game skid, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers played their best football of the season by routing the Chicago Bears on Sunday, 36-10.

The Bucs, for once, won the game with an impressive afternoon on defense. Not only did their D sack Chicago’s Jay Cutler four times, it also forced the Bears to commit a whopping four turnovers in the game.

Meanwhile, the offense was its usual prolific self with a typical hint of uncertainty. Although Jameis Winston completed 23 of his 33 passes for 312 yards and two touchdowns on Sunday, he did also throw a pick against the Bears. Still, Winston should have another sound performance in Arrowhead in Week 11 as he’s quite efficient away from home. He’s completing 61.8 of his passes on the road compared to 56.8 percent at home, and his seven yards-per-attempt average is more than half a yard better than when he’s in Raymond James Stadium.

Furthermore, the Buccaneers are actually 3-1 on the road for the season (SU/ATS) with wins over division rivals Atlanta and Carolina at that. And with Doug Martin (16 carries for just 33 rushing yards) slowly getting his footing back in the team’s running game during his first start on Sunday since Week 2 of the season, Tampa Bay appears more well-equipped now on offense to give the Chiefs a good scare leading into next Sunday’s bout.

Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5)

Not to be outdone by the Bucs, the Kansas City Chiefs also had a spectacular defensive performance on Sunday in defeating the Carolina Panthers in Charlotte, 20-17.

Really; 7-and-2 Kansas City wouldn’t have won that contest if it wasn’t for its stop unit. The team clawed its way back from a 17-point first-half deficit by way of safety Eric Berry’s crucial pick-six off of Cam Newton in the fourth quarter, a timely forced fumble and recovery off Panthers star wideout Kelvin Benjamin, and the four field goals from kicker Cairo Santos sprinkled throughout the latter half of the game. Berry’s interception gave his team 14 interceptions for the season, which is the most in the NFL. KC’s plus-14 turnover differential is also tops in the league, meaning that their as disruptive as careful on both sides of the ball.

However, and in spite of how locked-in the Chiefs’ D and special teams were on Sunday, the same couldn’t be said about their offense. They were outgained 341-256 in total yardage by Carolina, with Alex Smith throwing for just 178 yards in the air with one ugly pick of his own. The team’s running game could’ve done a bit more work too, as stud back Spencer Ware had just 13 carries for a solid 61 rushing yards.

Nevertheless, the Chiefs should still like their chances against the Bucs this coming Sunday. They’re undefeated in their last 10 home games – albeit just 4-6 against the spread – and will face a Tampa Bay offense that likes to take risks downfield via the passing game, which they could easily exploit in Week 11.

Writer’s Prediction

The Chiefs win yet another nail-biter, 23-21, as the Buccaneers manage to cover +7.5.

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