Green Bay Packers vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
Where: AT&T Stadium – Dallas, TX
When: Sunday, January 15, 2017 – 4:40 PM ET
Line: Green Bay Packers (+4) vs. Dallas Cowboys (-4); total: 52.0 – view all NFL lines
TV Broadcast: FOX
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Betting on the Green Bay Packers (+4)
Moneyline: +180
The Packers continued their hot streak in their Wildcard game Sunday night. They beat the Giants convincingly, 38-13, and have now won seven straight games.
Aaron Rodgers was smooth once again, as he threw for 362 yards and four scores. In his last eight outings, which dates back to Week 11 of the regular season, his TD-INT ratio is now an insane 22-0, along with throwing for 297.5 yards per game.
Through his play in the said stretch, Jordy Nelson, Randall Cobb, Davante Adams, and Jared Cook all had games with 100-plus receiving yards. It’s a receiving corps that should cause headaches for any of the remaining defenses.
Aside from the QB’s great momentum, the Packers will also be bringing a run defense that’s been on a roll in the past several weeks. Five of the last seven teams they faced have rushed for less than 100 yards – a type of D that is very much needed opposite Cowboys’ potent running attack.
The two concerns for now is the health of Nelson, who excited Sunday’s game with a rib injury, and their horrible pass defense. The Packers ended their 2016 campaign ranking 31st in the league in giving up yardage through the air (269.2 YPG).
The Packers are were 4-4 on the road during the season (3-5 ATS). They lost to the Cowboys in Week 6 at Lambeau Field, 30-16.
Betting on the Dallas Cowboys (-4)
Moneyline: -220
Cowboys fan or not, super rookies Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott should get you all pumped up for their first playoff game. The two were magical in the regular season and it’ll be interesting if they can keep the great composure in a stage that’s bigger and brighter.
Although significantly behind in terms of playoff experience, they should be fueled by having home field advantage and their Week 6 victory over the Packers. In the game, their offense had 424 total yards and their defense caused four turnovers (three fumbles and one interception).
Like Rodgers, Prescott too has an impressive TD-INT ratio, as he finished with 23-4, while also passing for 229.2 YPG. When he battled the Pack’s D in the aforementioned game, he tossed three TDs, while his main backfield support, Elliot, rushed for 157 yards on 5.6 yards per carry.
The RB, as you may know, finished the year with a league-leading 1,631 rushing yards, becoming the first rookie rusher to do so in 17 years. Additionally, he’s only the fifth back in NFL history to run for over 1,600 yards in his debut season.
As for defending the Packers, it obviously begins and ends with stopping Rodgers, which doesn’t really look good, as the Cowboys are in the league’s bottom seven of giving up passing yards (260.4 YPG, 26th overall). Also, they won’t likely face many attacks from the visitors’ RBs, since they are first in the league containing the run (83.6 YPG), and Green Bay is only ranked 20th in rushing offense.
The Cowboys were 7-1 at home during the season (5-2-1 ATS).
Writer’s Prediction
The Packers (+4) win, 28-24.
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