We’re only a week away from Super Bowl 54. The Kansas City Chiefs opened up as 1-point favorites against the San Francisco 49ers, but the line has now moved up by half a point, with the AFC champs being labelled as a 1.5-point chalk as of the moment. Will the Chiefs give Andy Reid his first Super Bowl ring? Or will the 49ers party like it’s 1995?
Betting Preview for Super Bowl 54 Featuring the San Francisco 49ers vs the Kansas City Chiefs
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens
When: Sunday, February 2, 2020 6:30 PM ET
TV Broadcast: FOX
Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5 Spread / -105 Money)
The Chiefs’ offense has been firing on all cylinders ever since the playoffs began, or to be more precise — since the second quarter of their AFC Divisional round showdown with the Houston Texans in which Kansas City bounced back from a scoreless first quarter and outscored Deshaun Watson and company in that frame alone, 28-3, on their way to a 51-31 win. It’s been that way for the Chiefs the rest of the way, as they also torched the Tennessee Titans’ defense in a 35-24 win at home in the AFC title game. Mahomes will be challenged hard by San Francisco’s defense, but he’s got the mobility and an assortment of excellent weapons around to help him complete plays. Sammy Watkins, for one, has seemingly found an extra gear in the postseason. In the last two Chiefs games, the former Clemson Tigers wideout has 190 receiving yards and a touchdown on nine catches. Then there’s tight end Travis Kelce, who’s size and hands will be a problem for 49ers defensive backs. Kelce shredded Houston’s defense for 134 receiving yards and three touchdowns.
The Chiefs have won against the spread in seven of their last eight games.
Betting on the San Francisco 49ers (+1.5 Spread / +105 Money)
San Francisco’s defense is hell on earth for opposing quarterbacks. Kirk Cousins of the Minnesota Vikings and Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers were both put under excruciating conditions brought by the 49ers’ stop unit that has allowed just 30 points so far in the playoffs. The 49ers’ defense was punishing in the regular season, and it’s arguably gotten better in the playoffs, albeit over a small sample size. Nevertheless, the Niners shutting down a solid Vikings offense and slowing down an Aaron Rodgers-led attack are everything any team need to know to fear and respect San Francisco’s defense, particularly its pass rush. The 49ers have nine sacks this postseason, and against Green Bay, Rodgers was repeatedly harassed in the pocket, which often led to him throwing quick passes before his receivers could even set up downfield. San Francisco’s phalanx of pass rushers includes the likes of Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, and DeForest Bucker, who should be able to show up in Mahomes’ doorstep behind the Chiefs’ offensive line on several occasions.
The 49ers have covered the spread in all of their last five games as the underdog.
The Chiefs win, 30-23.
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