Don’t look now, but the Miami Dolphins are no longer the worst team in the NFL, as they have built a winning streak, sort of. A bigger challenge for them looms this weekend, with the Buffalo Bills coming to town. The Bills are +4000 to win the AFC title, while the Fins are +200000 to pull off that feat.
The Bills weren’t able to capitalize on the struggles of the Cleveland Browns, as they lost to Baker Mayfield and company on the road last Sunday, 19-16. Josh Allen went 22 for 41 for 266 yards, and while he did not have a passing touchdown, he was never sacked nor intercepted in the game. He also rushed for two touchdowns. His ability to get around defenses with his legs plus a superior supporting talent around him on offense should be all the Bills need to take down the Dolphins. The ground attack of the Bills will be a main weapon against Miami’s problematic defense that is allowing the third-most rushing yards (146.1) per game. Conversely, the Bills like to run the ball, ranking 10th in the league with a 43.23 rush play percentage.
The Bills are 7-3 straight up (SU) and 6-3-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games. The under is also 7-3 in those contests..
Betting on the Miami Dolphins (2-7)
The Dolphins are not going to the playoffs, but at least they are trending in the right direction after scoring a 16-12 road win over the Indianapolis Colts in Week 10. They now have a surprising two-game winning streak, which they will look to extend when they meet Buffalo at home. Ryan Fitzpatrick is still a steady quarterback who can manage a game at the very least when he’s on top of his game. But it’s the defense that showed up in the Colts game for Miami. The Dolphins picked Colts quarterback Brian Hoyer three times, resulting in a 13-yard loss for the Colts. If the Dolphins can carry over that momentum and continue to build on their limited success, the Bills could be in a bigger trouble than most people realize.
The Dolphins, who have allowed just 19.0 points over their last three games, are 2-0 ATS in their last two contests at home.
