The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs will meet for the second time this season on Sunday in a battle for the right to punch a ticket to Super Bowl 55. The Bills lost to the Chiefs at home back in Week 6, 26-17. Will Buffalo avenge that loss by eliminating the Chiefs? Or will Kansas City book their return flight to the Super Bowl for a chance to go back-to-back champs?
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Betting Preview for the Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs AFC Conference Championship January 24, 2021
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City
When: Sunday, January 24, 2021, 6:40 PM ET
Line: Buffalo Bills (+3) vs Kansas City Chiefs (-3) – view all 2021 NFL lines
TV Broadcast: FOX
Betting on the Buffalo Bills (+3)
Regular Season Record: 13-3
The Baltimore Ravens were no match to Josh Allen and the Bills, as Buffalo scored a 17-3 win at home over Lamar Jackson and company in the Divisional Round, 17-3. It was mostly an offensive struggle for both teams, but the Bills got a huge push from their stop unit which scored a touchdown via a pick-6 by Taron Johnson in the closing seconds of the third quarter. Meanwhile, wide receiver Stefon Diggs scored a touchdown to go with 106 receiving yards on eight catches. Having allowed just three points to the Ravens, the Bills’ defense now has the tall order of putting the clamps on the Chiefs’ potent offense, led by Patrick Mahomes. However, the Bills can catch a massive break if Mahomes gets ruled out for the Conference Championship Round. It could be remembered that Mahomes was not able to finish last Sunday’s game against the Cleveland Browns due to a concussion. In any case, the Bills will look to bother Kansas City’s quarterback/s in the pocket after recording four sacks in the Ravens game.
The Bills are 9-1 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (-3)
Regular Season Record: 14-2
As mentioned earlier, there’s a chance that Patrick Mahomes won’t be able to see action this coming Sunday due to a concussion he suffered in last week’s 22-17 home win over the Browns. Mahomes left the game with 255 passing yards and a touchdown with zero interceptions on 21-of-30 completions. The Chiefs also operated without running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire because of hip and ankle issues, but another week of rest could be enough for the rookie tailback to heal just in time for the date with the Bills. Without CEH, the Chiefs mostly relied on Darrel Williams on rushing plays in the Browns game, as he rushed for 78 yards on 13 carries. Chad Henne will take the snaps under center on Sunday should Mahomes gets ruled out. Whichever quarterback starts for Kansas City will have the pair of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce to throw at downfield. The duo torched the Browns’ defense for a combined total of 219 receiving yards and a touchdown on 16 catches and 21 targets.
The Chiefs are 3-1 against the spread in their last four home games in the playoffs.
Writer’s Prediction
The Bills win, 27-24.
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