The Buffalo Bills are still looking to catch the New England Patriots atop the AFC East, while also keeping their pace for at least a wild card spot in the conference. Meanwhile, the Denver Broncos are grasping for straws in hopes of keeping their playoff hopes alive.
You got to feel for the Broncos and their fans. Denver was having a fantastic first half in its Week 11 matchup against the Minnesota Vikings on the road, taking a 20-0 lead into halftime. Then the wheels all went off for the Broncos, who got outscored in the final two quarters, 27-3, to end up taking a 27-23 loss. The combination of their inability to get past Minnesota’s defense and stop the Vikings on the other end of the ball turned out to be lethal for Denver. Brandon Allen finished with 240 passing yards and a touchdown against an interception while completing just 17 of 39 passes. Courtland Sutton led the Broncos with 113 receiving yards on five catches and nine targets, while Tim Patrick, fresh off getting activated from the injured reserve, had 77 receiving yards on four catches and eight targets. Sutton and Patrick will form a dynamic duo downfield against the Bills’ defense that will have to worry much about Denver’s rushing attack. Philip Lindsay and Royce Freeman have the ability to gash defenses when given space to run, which they can find against the Bills, who are only 18th in the league with 106.3 rushing yards allowed per game.
The Broncos are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last three games.
Betting on the Buffalo Bills (7-3)
The Bills got back on track on Sunday, as they roasted the Miami Dolphins in South Beach with a 37-20 victory. Josh Allen was simply awesome and surgical in breaking down the Fins’ defense. Allen had 256 passing yards and three touchdowns without an interception on 21-of-33 completions, while also rushing for 56 yards and a touchdown on seven carries. It was mostly a two-game affair for the Bills between Allen and John Brown, who had 137 receiving yards and a pair of touchdowns on nine catches and 14 targets. Miami basically just boosted the Bills’ confidence, which Buffalo will ride into their matchup at home against a struggling Denver squad. The Bills are averaging 21.1 points per game and are giving up 17.0 –third-fewest in the NFL. Denver isn’t likely to move the ball a lot through the air against the Bills’ defense that is allowing only 197.8 passing yards per contest.
The Bills are 2-2 ATS in their last four home games.
