San Jose State vs. San Diego State Betting Preview
Where: Qualcomm Stadium — San Diego, CA
When: Friday, October 21, 2016, 10:30 PM ET
Line: San Jose State (+23) vs. San Diego State Aztecs (-23); total: 48.0 – view all NCAA Football odds and lines
TV Broadcast: ESPN2
Writer’s Pick: San Diego State Aztecs (-23)
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Betting on the San Jose State Spartans (+23)
There’s only a short list of positive things you can say about the San Jose State Spartans. Their 2-5 record doesn’t look like they’re an ultimate bottom-feeder, but those two wins are against the practice squad-like roster of Portland State and Nevada, which is 113th in scoring this season.
Quarterback Kenny Potter is playing decently, but his 165 yards per game and nine passing TDs in seven games are unappealing.
As a group, the team’s wideouts and running backs are recording good numbers, but no one has been able to truly stand out. Their running back by committee – composed of Malik Robertson, Deontae Cooper, and Zamore Zigler – is averaging just 160 yards per game, 82nd in the nation.
The Spartans aren’t any better on defense, as they are ranked 113th in the nation, giving up 36 points and 444 total yards per game. One notable stat worth mentioning is the D’s inability to stop offenses on 4th down. In the six times that opponents have went for it, they were successful every time.
San Jose has lost 16 straight games as an underdog (3-13 ATS).
Betting on the San Diego State Aztecs (-23)
There’s no mystery as to who the man is for the whole San Diego Aztecs offense. It’s RB Donnel Pumphrey through and through. He has more carries than QB Christian Chapman has pass attempts this season. Heck, he even leads the team in receptions!
The senior RB, who’s also a Heisman contender for the second straight year, has been putting up monster numbers week after week. Last week’s 220-yard performance was his third time exceeding the 200-plus yard plateau in five weeks, while his 11 rushing TDs only trails Louisville QB Lamar Jackson, who has 15.
Pumphrey should be loving his chances against San Jose State’s ground game that gives up 228 rushing yards per game. He should expect holes that can fit a large truck… front and sideways.
Chapman could be bound for another evening of a light workload, while main receivers Micah Holder and Eric Judge will continue to be strong decoys for the run game.
Defensively, San Diego is also positioned to perform well. Their 20th-ranked defense should look good compared to San Jose State’s 94th-ranked offense. In the Aztec’s five wins, they’ve limited three opponents to seven points or less, and four were blown out.
The Aztecs have won seven straight games at home (5-1-1 ATS).
Writer’s Prediction
San Diego State (-23) wins, but doesn’t cover.
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