Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Missouri Tigers Betting Preview
Where: Faurot Field — Columbia, Missouri
When: Saturday, November 26, 2016, 1:30 PM ET
Line: Arizona Razorbacks (-8) at Missouri Tigers (+8); total: 75.0 – view all NCAA Football odds and lines
TV Broadcast: CBS
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Betting on the Arkansas Razorbacks (-8)
This team’s middle name is inconsistent. The splitting of wins and losses have now stretched to nine weeks. Most aren’t typical games, too. It’s either they’re winning by 20 or losing by 20.
Despite the up and down performances, though, they earned another spot for a bowl game, their third consecutive berth for such.
As they try to stop being consistently inconsistent, the offense will look to carry the momentum they gained in last week’s Mississippi State game, where they achieved a rare feat. In the 58-42 win, Arkansas became the only fifth NCAA team in history to have a 300-plus yard passer and 200-plus yard rusher in the same game, as Austin Allen threw for 303 yards, while Rawleigh Williams rushed for 205.
Allen is producing respectable numbers (254.9 passing ypg with 22 TDs and 10 INTs), but it’s mostly Williams that has the Razorbacks rolling to a winning record. The sophomore currently has 1,209 rushing yards (16th in the nation) and 11 TD scores.
On defense, they are a headache… to themselves, especially in defending the run. Arkansas’ front seven is playing like they are offensive linemen, allowing 216.3 rushing ypg (102nd in the nation) on a whopping 6.3 yards per carry (dead-last in the nation).
Arkansas is 5-5 SU (7-3 ATS) in their last 10 games on the road.
Betting on the Missouri Tigers (+8)
Losers in six of their last seven games, everything is just going south for the Tigers. They are simply not getting it done. Last week’s game against the Volunteers is exhibit A, as they gained 740 yards on offense (420 on runs) and still lost 63-37.
To top all of that off, sensational running back Damarea Crockett will be suspended for Saturday’s game (violated team rules). The freshman is the team’s most consistent weapon on offense, averaging 136.1 rushing ypg and scoring seven TDs in the last six outings.
So, yeah, the Razorbacks’ horrible run defense probably breathed a sigh of relief and thanked the football gods for that one.
With Crockett out, the backfield duties will rest heavily on Ish Witter. He’s not as productive as his running partner, but he should be able to exceed his 67 ypg average this week.
QB Drew Lock may also have a big night. He’s averaging 305.3 passing yards in his last three and will look to get such yardage again.
The defensive unit, meanwhile, will have their work cut out for them. Their 77th-ranked pass defense should be able to give Austin Allen a competitive game, but the 118th-ranked rushing defense (allowing 238.9 per game) could get murked.
The Tigers are 4-6 SU (5-5 ATS) in their last 10 games at home.
Writer’s Prediction
The Razorbacks (-8) win, 34-20.
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