Navy Midshipmen vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview
Where: EverBank Field – Jacksonville, FL
When: Saturday, November 5, 2016 – 7:30 PM ET
Line: Navy Midshipmen (+6.5) vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-6.5) – view all NCAA Football odds and lines
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Betting on the Navy Midshipmen (+6.5)
Navy was able to produce great yardage against South Florida last week, gaining a total of 616 total yards. It would’ve been more impressive if they didn’t give up 629 yards on the other end and lost 52-45.
The defense obviously needs a ton of fixing. The season is 10 weeks in and the Middies only have three interceptions, while also averaging a lowly 1.7 sacks per game and permitting a 91st-ranked 436.1 yards per game. There is also no excuse for allowing Bulls QB Quinton Flowers to run for 176 yards and two scores.
Offense-wise, Navy is a team that has the ability to eat up a lot of time off the clock, thanks to having an imposing ground attack that records 296.6 yards per contest. They also have a dual threat under center, with QB Will Worth already having 616 rushing yards and 13 TDs this season.
The Midshipmen are 7-3 SU (5-5 ATS) in their last 10 games.
Betting on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-6.5)
The Fighting Irish almost let one slip away against the ‘Canes this past week, as they blew a 20-point lead and had three separate mishaps on special teams, including a ugly muffed punt. They would’ve fallen to a 2-6 record if not for kicker Justin Yoon’s field goal with only 30 seconds left. The 30-27 win snapped the team’s five-game skid and gives a good momentum to once again go over Navy, whom they have beaten five straight times (2-3 ATS).
To avoid beginning another string of ugly defeats, QB DeShone Kizer has to be more inconsistent. Before last week’s neat 263-yard, two-TD performance, he was 23-of-52 for 208 yards, with no TDs and three INTs in his last two. The junior needs to relax more and just keep targeting football magnet Equanimeous St. Brown (what a name, right?), who’s averaging 85.3 yards per game on 18.5 yards per catch this season, along with seven TD catches.
Defensively, they are at the nation’s bottom half on points (27.6 – 73rd) and upper half on total yards (388.1 – 53rd) allowed per game. The stop unit, who lets QBs complete 60.9 percent of their passes and gives up six yards per play, will have an interesting matchup with the Midshipmen’s option-happy offense.
Writer’s Prediction
Notre Dame (-6.5) wins, 32-24.
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