There aren’t a lot of people who can say with a straight face that they had a feeling prior to the season that both the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills will be undefeated by the time these two teams face each other in Week 4. But that’s the case we have this coming Sunday. Will the Pats dominate? Or will Josh Allen and the Bills cause many more tables to break with a victory at home?
The Patriots are so much more than just being about Tom Brady. That was very much apparent in their 30-14 home win over the New York Jets last Sunday in which the defense continue to highlight the strength of the defending Super Bowl champions. Brady had 306 passing yards and two touchdowns with zero interceptions in 28 of 42 completions, while the Pats’ defense held the Jets down to only 105 total yards and just six first-down conversions. Although the Pats benefited from facing a third-string quarterback in Luke Falk, their defense has been so consistent from Week 1 to cast major doubt on its effectiveness. The Bills aren’t an offensive juggernaut eager, so expect New England to find a way to neutralize Buffalo’s attacks.
The Patriots, who are tops in the NFL in both scoring defense and total defense with just 5.7 points allowed per game and 199.0 total yards surrendered per contest, are 5-0 straight up (SU) and 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five meetings with the Bills.
Betting on the Buffalo Bills (3-0)
Oh boy. Bills Mafia is going to be loud and rowdy next Sunday in Buffalo, as the Bills play their second home game in a row with Super Bowl favorite New England coming to town. In their last game, the Bills added to the misery of the Cincinnati Bengals with a 21-17 home win in Week 3. Bills QB Josh Allen went 23 of 36 for 243 passing yards and a touchdown with an interception That pick was a product of indecision, which he shouldn’t manifest in Week 4 against the highly opportunistic defense of the Patriots. The Bills need all hands on deck to break down the Pats’ unit, and hopefully for Buffalo, rookie running back Devin Singletary can rejoin them back on the field after missing Week 3 with a hamstring issue. If he can’t get a green light, expect Frank Gore to lead the Bills’ run game that averages 151.3 rushing yards per game — fifth in the NFL. The ageless Gore had 76 rushing yards and a touchdown in the win over the Bengals.
The over is 4-2 in the Bills’ last six home games.
