New Mexico State Aggies vs. Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
Where: Kyle Field — College Station, Texas
When: Saturday, October 29, 2016, 7:30 PM ET
Line: New Mexico State Aggies (+43.5) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (-43.5); total: 71.0 – view all NCAA Football odds and lines
TV Broadcast: ESPNU
Writer’s Pick: Texas A&M Aggies (-43.5)
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Betting on the New Mexico State Aggies (+43.5)
New Mexico State’s losing woes show no sign of abating as the Aggies crashed to their second consecutive defeat with a gut-wrenching 22-19 loss to Georgia Southern on Saturday night. The Aggies simply had no answer for Georgia Southern quarterback Kevin Ellison who threw two fourth-quarter touchdowns. It was a disappointing result for the Aggies who have now lost four of their last five games.
It’s back to the drawing board then for head coach Doug Martin and the rest of the struggling Aggies. For New Mexico State to record a major shock and cover the huge 43.5-point spread against Texas A&M this coming weekend, it needs to take much better care of the football. Turnovers doomed New Mexico State in its defeat to Georgia Southern, with the Aggies committing a whopping three turnovers in that contest.
It’s also crucial for New Mexico State that quarterback Tyler Rogers step up his play against Texas A&M. He completed 22-of-38 passes for 250 yards and two touchdowns with one costly interception in the loss to Georgia Southern. He’s 23rd in the nation in passing offense, averaging 286.9 yards per game through the air this season. Rogers will be licking his chops at the prospect of facing a Texas A&M secondary that’s allowing 261.9 passing yards per game this season, 98th in the entire FBS.
New Mexico State is 2-8 SU and 5-5 ATS in its last 10 road games.
Betting on the Texas A&M Aggies (-43.5)
Texas A&M’s playoff hopes were dealt a major blow on Saturday when it suffered a humiliating 33-14 loss to Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Tide quarterback Jalen Hurts accounted for 257 total yards and three scores to send the Aggies crashing to their first defeat this season. It was a disappointing result for Texas A&M who had their six-game winning streak snapped.
The main reason behind the Aggies’ defeat was their abysmal ground game. They rushed for only 114 yards against Alabama after putting up 353 the previous week against Tennessee. The onus then is on Trayveon Williams and Trevor Knight to get Texas A&M’s running game going quickly against New Mexico State. Williams rushed for only 23 yards on nine carries against the Tide after exploding for 217 against the Vols. Knight, on the other hand, rushed for just 24 yards against Alabama after putting up 351 in the previous three games.
That being said, they will fancy their chances of dissecting a New Mexico State defensive line that’s allowing 245.6 rushing yards per game this season, 10th-worst in the FBS. Texas A&M can also take comfort in the fact that it has fared extremely well at home this season. The Aggies are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS at Kyle Field this season. They’re averaging a whopping 47 points at home this campaign.
Texas A&M is 8-2 SU and 4-6 ATS in its last 10 home games. The Aggies are pegged at +10,000 to win the national championship this season.
Writer’s Prediction
Texas A&M (-43.5) crushes New Mexico State, 57-10.
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