Roger Federer vs. Dan Evans Preview
Where: All England Club, Wimbledon
When: Friday, July 1
Line: Roger Federer (-4,000) vs. Dan Evans (+1,600) – view all Wimbledon Men’s Singles lines
TV Broadcast: ESPN
Writer’s Pick: Roger Federer
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Roger Federer’s Edge (-4,000)
One advantage that Roger Federer has in his arsenal is his excellent return. The Swiss maestro won 45 percent of his receiving points in his straight-sets win against Marcus Willis with Federer converting five of his 12 break point chances. Federer has been impeccable in this event thus far as he has yet to drop a set in his opening two matches.For Federer to continue his excellent run against Dan Evans, he will need to bring his aggressive style and continue his strong net play in the third round. He won 29 of his 40 net points against Willis in the second round. Federer has won 77 percent of his total net points (63-of-82) in the entire tournament thus far.
Federer is 7-3 in his last 10 matches. He is pegged at +600 to win a record eighth Wimbledon crown this year.
Dan Evans’ Edge (+1,600)
One thing that Dan Evans can count on in this match is the overwhelming home support. We saw how the Centre Court crowd energized Marcus Willis in his match against Federer and we can expect more of the same from the British fans in this third round match. To get the crowd even more pumped up, Evans will need to get his service game going quickly. He put into play 66 percent of his first serves against Alexandr Dolgopolov with Evans winning 70 percent (43/61) of those points.
Evans will also take heart in the fact that he’s hitting it beautifully from the baseline in this year’s tournament. He’s averaging 42.5 winners per match in this event thus far. Evans recorded 39 winners in his 7-6, 6-4, 6-1 upset win over Dolgopolov in the second round.
Evans is 5-5 in his last 10 matches.
Writer’s Prediction: Roger Federer (-4,000) wins in straight sets.
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