The Super Bowl 54 table is all set. The Kansas City Chiefs have finally broken a long, dry, Super Bowl appearance-less spell, as they will play in their first Super Bowl since 1970 this coming February against the San Francisco 49ers, who lost in the NFL’s grand stage the last time they were there in 2012. The question is simple: Who will win Super Bowl LIV? Let’s find out.
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Betting Preview for the San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs Super Bowl 54 Game on February 2, 2020
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Miami Florida
When: Sunday, February 2, 2020, 6:30 PM ET
Line: Kansas City Chiefs (-1) vs. San Francisco 49ers (+1) – view all 2020 NFL lines
TV Broadcast: FOX
Betting on the Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
For the first time in 50 years, the Chiefs are going to play in the Super Bowl. That much was ascertained following their dominant 35-24 win over the Tennessee Titans at home in the AFC Championship Game. There’s no secret weapon for the Chiefs. They simply have too many weapons — none bigger than Patrick Mahomes. The 2018 NFL Most Valuable Player is having a blast in these playoffs. Mahomes had 321 passing yards and five touchdowns with zero interceptions in the divisional round against the Houston Texans then willed his team to a win over the Titans by throwing for 294 passing yards and three touchdowns without an interception. Mahomes and the Chiefs are not just coming out of nowhere with this kind of offensive brilliance in the playoffs. They have been doing it all season long. The Chiefs finished the regular season third in the NFL with 29.8 points per game and fourth with 383.6 total yards per contest. Sammy Watkins, Travis Kelce, and Tyreek Hill make up most of the Chiefs’ threat downfield. Watkins has stepped it up of late, with 190 receiving yards and a touchdown on nine catches in the last two games, while Kelce and Hill have combined for five touchdowns in the playoffs. The Chiefs also have a defense that remains greatly underappreciated. In fact, the Chiefs finished the regular season with the second-best Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA).
Betting Trends:
The Chiefs are 8-0 against the spread (ATS) in their last eight games.
The over is 3-0 in the Chiefs’ last three games.
The under is 3-0 in the Chiefs last three games away from Arrowhead Stadium.
The Chiefs are 3-0 ATS in their last three games away from home.
Betting on the San Francisco 49ers (13-3)
The NFL Playoffs always have its way of making heroes out of unlikely figures. And if you’re looking for the latest example, the 49ers have one in the form of running back Raheem Mostert. Unselected in the 2015 NFL Draft, Mostert had his most memorable day as a professional last Monday, when he rushed for 220 yards and four touchdowns on 29 carries during the Niners’ 37-20 clobbering of the Green Bay Packers at home. Mostert and the 49ers’ run game was so effective together with the team’s defense that they barely needed to run plays through their $137-million quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who threw just eight passes for 77 yards. The Chiefs, however, were able to solve Derrick Henry, so the Niners are aware Kansas City could do the same to their running attack. That being said, the Titans did not have as deep of a backfield as San Francisco, which, aside from Mostert, also has Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida. Coleman exited in the first half of the Packers game and did not return after sustaining a shoulder injury, but head coach Kyle Shanahan is not ruling him out of Super Bowl 54. The 49ers’ defense holds a big key to success against Kansas City, particularly their pass rush. Aaron Rodgers was repeatedly harassed in the pocket by the Niners’ defense, giving him barely any time to throw deeper passes to his targets. Nick Bosa, Arik Armstead, K’Waun Williams, DeForest Buckner, and Dee Ford all reek of trouble for Kansas City’s offensive line. The 49ers’ defense has nine sacks and three interceptions in these playoffs.
Betting Trends:
The 49ers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
The over is 4-1-1 in the 49ers’ last six games.
The 49ers are 3-0 ATS in their last three games against AFC West teams.
The under is 2-0 in the 49ers’ last two games against AFC West teams.
Writer’s Prediction
The San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 32-23.
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