The No. 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders look like they are ready for the Big Dance, as they are winning plenty of games this late in the conference play. Speaking of which, the Red Raiders are +2,800 to win the national title. The Horned Frogs (+15,000), meanwhile, are looking for stability. A loss this coming weekend would mean that they are not going to finish the season with a .500 or better conference record.
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Betting Preview for the Texas Tech Red Raidersvs. TCU Horned Frogs College Basketball Game on March 2, 2019
Where: Schollmaier Arena, Fort Worth
When: Saturday, March 2, 2019, 4:00 PM ET
Line: Texas Tech Red Raiders (odds) vs. TCU Horned Frogs (odds) – view all NCAA Basketball lines
TV Broadcast: ESPN
Betting on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (23-5 Overall / 11-4 Conference)
The Red Raiders are dominating conference play of late. In fact, they have gone 6-0 SU over their last six games, a stretch that includes a gutsy 84-80 overtime win in Lubbock over the Oklahoma State Cowboys last Wednesday. Although that win extended the Red Raiders’ unbeaten run, it was not as much of an impressive victory for them as the others Texas Tech has had so far this season. Oklahoma is only ranked 105th in KenPom. The Horned Frogs are 46th, so Texas Tech will have to do better this weekend in order to avoid what is becoming to be a rare misstep for it. The Red Raiders mopped the floor with TCU, though, last January with an 84-65 win. Texas Tech’s offense was key to that win, as it shot 54.2 percent from the field and hit nine 3-pointers on 21 attempts.
Texas Tech, which is fifth in the conference in offensive efficiency, is 2-0 against the spread (ATS) in its last two road games. The Red Raiders are 10-11-1 ATS after a win so for this season.
Betting on the TCU Horned Frogs (18-10 Overall / 6-9 Conference)
The Horned Frogs are trending towards the opposite direction compared to Texas Tech. They have gone 1-4 SU in their last five contests, and are coming off an exhausting 104-96 triple overtime in Morgantown to the West Virginia Mountaineers last Wednesday. The Horned Frogs have three full days to rest up their drained bodies heading into a home game against the Red Raiders, so fatigue is unlikely to be a factor in that contest. In anything, TCU has covered the spread six times in 12 games that followed two to three days of rest. The West Virginia game was a turnover-fest, with the Mountaineers and the Horned Frogs each committing 24 turnovers. Granted that it went to three overtimes, TCU is in the bottom half of the league with a 19.8 turnover percentage. It had 13 turnovers to just seven of Texas Tech in these two teams’ first meeting last month.
TCU is 5-4 ATS in games after a loss and 8-2 straight up (SU) in its last 10 games as the home team.
Writer’s Prediction
Texas Tech wins, 68-64.
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