With two days to go (at press) until the AFC Conference Championship, the favorable spread on the New England Patriots has moved from -9.5 to -8.
On Wednesday afternoon, the sportsbook received a sharp bet on the Jacksonville Jaguars at +9.5, which moved the New England Patriots down to -9. Then, on Friday morning, we noticed that many other shops adjusted down to -7.5 on the game. In response, our NFL sportsbook moved with the market and listed the Patriots at -8. What’s with all of the movement?
It all comes down to the uncertainty surrounding Tom Brady and how serious his hand injury may be. The New England Patriots (and handlers) are pretty darn good at keeping information like this under wraps, so the official word on how serious the injury may or may not be will not likely be known until game time this coming Sunday at 12 PM EST. Thus far, the initial word from Belichick is “We’ll see“.
Additional Patriots’ Odds Information for 2018 AFC Conference Championship Bettors
55% of cash, 59% of bets are on the New England Patriots.
The sportsbook also received sharp action on UNDER 47 Friday morning (January 19), so the total moved to 46.5. Again, this is most likely related to speculation on Tom Brady’s hand injury, with the assumption being made that the Patriots will run the ball more than usual. 53% of cash, 58% of bets are on the OVER.
Tom Brady throwing the pigskin in practice yesterday
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