Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
Where: Ross-Ade Stadium, West Lafayette, IN
When: Saturday, November 19, 2016 – 12:00 PM ET
Line: Wisconsin Badgers (-28) at Purdue Boilermakers (+28); total: 49.5 – view all NCAA Football odds and lines
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Betting on the Wisconsin Badgers (-28)
After last weekend’s 48-3 dismantling of the Fighting Illini, the Badgers are now on the cusp of earning yet another Big Ten football championship game berth, which will potentially be their fourth in six years. The school will need to win their next two outings to do so, but a win on Saturday and a Cornhuskers loss could also punch their card for the title game.
As they eagerly look ahead to Week 12, the Badgers could again eye running back Corey Clement to carry them to a W. The senior doesn’t have the spotlight of a Donnel Pumphrey or a D’Onta Foreman, but he can produce when called upon. Clement has surpassed the 100-yard plateau in four of his five previous games, while also rushing for five scores. He should be able to have another fine performance, as he will be facing one of the worst defenses in the conference.
The great presence on the ground is perfect of the rather flat passing game, which only ranks 103rd in the nation (181.2 yards per game). Alex Hornibrook, the team’s starting QB, is only completing 57.4 percent of his throws, and has as many touchdowns passes as he has interceptions, with seven.
Defensively, these boys from Wisconsin should have no problem. Led by TJ Watt (yes, JJ and Derek are his older brothers), the unit has given up the fewest passing touchdowns (five) and third fewest points per game (12.7) in college football. Opposing QBs are in for a long day with this D, as they only permit a 52.1-percent completion rate. They should have a favorable matchup against the Boilermakers.
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU (5-0 ATS) in their last five games on the road.
Betting on the Purdue Boilermakers (+28)
Purdue Boilermakers football hasn’t crafted anything worthwhile in a long time. They are only boiling themselves, as they only have one above .500 season to show for the last eight years. This season is just like the previous ones, where the offense and defense are ranked way down in the standings.
The problems root on the inconsistent play of quarterback David Blough, who, despite having 2,291 passing yards and a respectable 21 touchdown passes, leads the nation in interceptions with 16.
It doesn’t look good since the Boilermakers’ only decent chance is attacking through the air, as they average a 124th-ranked rushing offense. The 104.3 yards they produce on the ground as a team would rank somewhere in the top 30s if compared to the top backs in the whole NCAA. That’s how harmless they are at carrying the ball.
Being “harmless” continues on defense. They are in the bottom seven of rushing yards allowed per game (248.9) and rushing yards allowed per carry (5.7), while also enabling the 16th-most total yards per game (467).
Last week, they made Northwestern’s 107th-ranked running offense looked like a mack truck, giving up 352 yards (605 total yards) and three rushing TDs. This coming Saturday against Clement and his offensive line, a group that’s clearly better than what the Wildcats had, we can expect the Boilermakers’ D to get punished once again.
Purdue is 1-4 SU and ATS in its last five games at home.
Writer’s Prediction
The Badgers don’t care. They will win and cover that large -28 spread.
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