The Golden State Warriors sent one heck of a message to their biggest title rivals, the San Antonio Spurs, in their first meeting. With MVP Stephen Curry leading the charge, they dealt the Spurs their heaviest defeat of the season.
But that was in Golden State. This Saturday’s matchup takes place in San Antonio, where the Spurs have had the Warriors’ number through the years. Can the Spurs even up the season series, not to mention maintain their perfect home record?
Get ready for this titanic showdown between the two best teams in the league with our preview below. And for more of Saturday’s big-time games, check out our previews of the Kentucky vs. Indiana and Kansas vs. UConn March Madness matchups.
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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Preview
Where: AT&T Center, San Antonio
When: Saturday, March 19, 8:30 PM ET
Line: Golden State Warriors (+3.5) at San Antonio Spurs (-3.5); total 217.0 – view all NBA lines
TV Broadcast: ABC
Betting on the Golden State Warriors (62-6)
The Golden State Warriors certainly weren’t caught looking ahead to the Spurs. The Dubs took care of the Dallas Mavericks, 130-112, on the first night of a back-to-back as they won their seventh-straight game.
They have gone 6-1 ATS over that stretch, in large part because their offense has been simply unstoppable of late. They’re averaging 125.4 points per game over their last five games.Splash Brothers Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson continue to amaze. They combined for 70 points and a mind-boggling 16-of-27 from beyond the arc last night against the Mavs, the second time in a span of a week where they’ve totaled 70 or more points and 15 or more threes.
Not even the Spurs’ outstanding defense can do much of anything when those two are locked in. Curry burned the Spurs for 37 points in their first meeting this season, a 120-90 Warriors win.
Andre Iguodala has missed the last four games due to an ankle injury, and is set to sit out again. Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut left the Mavs game with a toe injury, and is also unlikely to be risked in San Antonio.
The two will certainly be missed on the defensive end, but the Warriors can compensate by playing Harrison Barnes and Marreese Speights heavier minutes, making their offense that much more potent. The two combined for 33 points on 13-of-21 shooting from the field against Dallas.
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Betting on the San Antonio Spurs (58-10)
The San Antonio Spurs are still perfect at home. With Thursday’s 118-110 win over the Portland Trail Blazers, they improved to 34-0 at AT&T Center on the season and 4-0 in their recent home stand, all of which were against current playoff teams.
They’re just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at home, although all of those spreads have been nine points or higher. They’ll have a much more manageable spread to work with at home against the Warriors. The Spurs are 19-1 (13-7 ATS) in their last 20 home games against Golden State.
Don’t think the Spurs just forgot about the 30-point spanking they experienced at the hands of the Dubs in their first meeting this season in Oakland. Just about everything went wrong for the Spurs in that game. They were without Tim Duncan; LaMarcus Aldridge and Tony Parker were non-factors; and they turned the ball over 25 times.
Well, they’ve got Duncan back this time around, while LaMarcus Aldridge (24 PPG on 58% FGs in March), Tony Parker (18 points and 16 assists vs. the Blazers) and Kawhi Leonard (24 PPG in March) are all playing very well.
With Golden State down two of its three best defenders, the Spurs should have a much easier time putting points up on a Warriors defense that is a mediocre 13th in defensive efficiency since the All-Star break.
Writer’s Prediction
The Warriors (+3.5) snap the Spurs’ home win streak, 115-110.