There’s no shortage of exciting games on Monday Night Football. A double-header opened up the Monday night football festivities in Week 1, while a shocking upset was in center stage in Week 2 as the New York Jets blew out offseason Super Bowl favorites, the Indianapolis Colts.
Week 3 gives us a blockbuster matchup between two of the best teams in the league. The Kansas City Chiefs have been perennial contenders in the tough AFC West, but have played second fiddle to the Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos recently. The Green Bay Packers have arguably the best quarterback in the league right now in Aaron Rodgers. What you get is an explosive primetime matchup to jumpstart your week.
Get everything you need to know for this week’s Monday Night Football with our feature below, complete with trends, expert picks odds. It’ll also be worth your while to stick around for the hot pick for this big-time matchup. If you’re looking for more football games to light up your weekend, check out the complete previews for Niners vs. Cardinals and Raiders vs. Browns.
[sc:Football ]Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers (Week 3)
Where: Lambeau Field, Green Bay
When: Monday, September 28, 8:30 PM ET
Line: Kansas City Chiefs (+7) at Green Bay Packers (-7); total 49.0 – view all NFL lines
Game Preview
Barring two lost fumbles, one returned for the Broncos’ game-winning touchdown, Kansas City running back Jamaal Charles actually had a pretty solid game. He ran for 125 yards and a touchdown on 21 carries. Charles lost two fumbles in 15 games last year, which could mean that his Week 2 performance was an anomaly rather than a norm. Expect him to be his usual solid self as he continues to rush for about 4.9 yards per carry this game.
[sc:NFL240banner ]Charles gets the Chiefs going on the ground. Quarterback Alex Smith is there to give them significant yardage through the air. Smith struggled to get going at Denver, throwing for 191 yards and a pair of interceptions. But he should have a better outing at Green Bay; the Packers don’t exactly have the best of pass rushes having just four sacks this season.
The Packers’ offense is a whole different animal, especially with a healthy Aaron Rodgers at quarterback. Rodgers was perfect in a thrilling fourth-quarter, game-winning drive. Down 17-16 on second and 15 at the Green Bay 20, the Packers quarterback went 8-for-8 for 79 yards and a touchdown to tight end Richard Rodgers. Rodgers connected with his tight end again for the two-point conversion.
Rodgers has now gone 18 straight games and 545 consecutive passes with 43 touchdowns and no interceptions at Lambeau Field. A possible absence of Eddie Lacy (sprained ankle) may hurt the Packers’ running game, though. But seeing how Peyton Manning torched Kansas City with 256 yards and three touchdowns last week, then the Packers may not need much of a running game to beat the Chiefs.
Where to Watch
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Betting Trends on the Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs have lost three of their last four games on the road, going 1-3 ATS.
The Chiefs are 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games against NFC North teams.
The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS (3-0 on the road) in their last five September games.
The Chiefs are 4-2 ATS in their last six games as eight-point underdogs or less.
The Chiefs are 6-2 ATS all-time against the Green Bay Packers
Betting Trends on the Green Bay Packers
The Packers have won 10 straight games at Lambeau Field, going 7-2-1 ATS.
The Packers are 9-1 SU/ATS in their last 10 games against AFC West teams.
The Packers are 9-1 SU and 7-3 ATS as favorites of eight points or less.
The total has gone over in seven of the Packers’ last 10 games at Lambeau Field.
The Packers are 3-1-1 ATS in their last four September games.
Hot Wager
The Kansas City Chiefs may be a hot pick in their Monday night showdown against the Packers at Lambeau Field. While the Packers are a strong bunch at home, it’s interesting to note that underdogs are a collective 3-0 ATS through three Monday night games in 2015.
As noted by the trends above, the Chiefs are 4-2 ATS in their last six games as eight-point underdogs or less. While the Chiefs may not win this game outright, they could hang tough to cover the +7 spread by eating up the clock with running plays utilizing Jamaal Charles and a better passing attack through Alex Smith. You could also make a case for Green Bay having a letdown this week after playing all out in a revenge game against the Seahawks in Week 2.
The Chiefs are a hot pick at +7. But it’ll be worth watching the line for any movement, especially if it bumps the Chiefs to +8 or more.
Expert Picks
| Expert | Line | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Prisco (CBS Sports) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Jason La Canfora (CBS Sports) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Will Brineon (CBS Sports) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Jared Dubin (CBS Sports) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Ryan Wilson (CBS Sports) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Michelle Bruton (Bleacher Report) | GB -6.5 | Packers |
| Brian Mazique (Bleacher Report) | Packers 27-20 | |
| Jim Derry (NOLA.com) | GB -6.5 | Chiefs |
Writer’s Prediction
Aaron Rodgers will be his usual dominant self, passing for at least two touchdowns. But Jamaal Charles runs just enough eat up the clock to keep Rodgers on the sideline. The Packers take the victory, but Kansas City hangs tough for the backdoor cover of +7.
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