Two graying quarterbacks in Drew Brees and Tom Brady will meet for the second time this season, as the Tampa Bay Buccaneers play host to the New Orleans Saints. The Saints welcomed Brady in the NFC South with a loss in Week 1, but can they double down on their mastery of the Bucs? Or will Tampa Bay get back at them?
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Betting Preview for the New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Regular Season Week 9 Game on November 8, 2020
Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa
When: Sunday, November 8, 2020, 8:20 PM ET
Line: New Orleans Saints (+4.5) vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5) – view all 2020 NFL lines
TV Broadcast: NBC
Betting on the New Orleans Saints (+4.5)
Regular Season Record: 5-2
The Saints extended their winning streak to four games after scoring a come-from-behind 26-23 overtime road win over the Chicago Bears last Sunday. It was not supposed to be an easy game for New Orleans in the first place because of the Bears’ stout defense, but thanks to Alvin Kamara, the Saints got away from Soldier Field with another win. Kamara led the team’s ground and air attacks, with 67 rushing yards on 12 carries and 96 receiving yards on nine receptions. Kamara and the Saints’ offense hummed in the first meeting with Tampa Bay in Week 1 which they won at home, 34-23. Drew Brees passed for just 160 yards (18/30) but had two touchdowns without an interception. Brees could get his downfield weapons back in Week 9 after missing them in the past games, as wide receivers Michael Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, and Marquez Callaway are all slated to return to action against the Bucs. Thomas injured his ankle in the first meeting with Tampa Bay and has not played since, but the Saints still managed to rank seventh in the league with 266.6 passing yards per game and also seventh in scoring offense with 29.4 points per contest.
The over is 9-1 in the Saints’ last 10 games.
Betting on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5)
Regular Season Record: 5-2
The New York Giants almost gave Tom Brady a nightmare again, as the Bucs pulled off a 25-23 road win over Daniel Jones and company last Monday night. It was, however, too close of a win to give the Bucs spread bettors a win, as Tampa Bay was a favorite in that game by 10.5 points. The defense paved the way for the Bucs in that game, as they came up with two interceptions and took Jones to the ground three times. The Bucs also held New York down to just 4-of-12 on third downs. The Saints got their way against Tampa Bay’s defense in Week 1, but the Bucs’ defense has gotten better since. In fact, the Bucs’ stop unit is now ranked No. 1 in the NFL in both overall DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) and DVOA against the pass. The Bucs are also third in DVOA against the run. Meanwhile, on offense, Brady is on a groove as well, as he’s tossed eight touchdowns without an interception over his last three games and 14 touchdowns against just an interception in his last five starts, during which the Bucs have gone 4-1.
The Bucs are 4-3 against the spread in their last seven home games versus the Saints.
Writer’s Prediction
The Bucs win, 27-21.
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